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Daily Regime Dispatch

US Market Regime Dispatch (2026-11-13): $SMH Fear & Greed at 18.3/100 (Extreme Fear) & PW-RSI Watchlist

Published 2026-11-13 · 5 min read · RightSideAlpha Institutional Quant Desk
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Post-Close Executive Readout (2026-11-13): Semiconductor Fear & Greed stands at 18.3/100 (Extreme Fear). $SMH closed at $486.75 (-27.23% vs. 52-week high, 14D RSI 40.1), $XLV closed at $188.85, and $QQQ closed at $679.89. Active Barbell Weight: 80% $SMH : 20% $XLV.

1. Why Retail Traders Misread Semiconductor Washouts

Most individual portfolios suffer permanent capital impairment during semiconductor drawdowns for two opposite reasons: buying the very first -10% dip on 3x leveraged ETFs ($SOXL) with zero stop-loss discipline, and then capitulating near the bottom when 14-day RSI drops into the low 30s.

Our 7-factor Semiconductor Fear & Greed engine removes emotion from sector rotation. Rather than holding unhedged high-beta chip exposure through macro tightening, pairing $SMH against defensive Health Care ($SMH vs $XLV) provides dry powder to rebalance into deep fear regimes.

2. Public PW-RSI Watchlist & Mechanical Risk Floors (2026-11-13)

Below are the top publicly unlocked US equities from our 72-ticker universe ranked by composite Post-Washout Right-Side Ignition (PW-RSI) score, alongside their non-negotiable Rule 1 (-9.0% hard stop) and Rule 3 (+100% TP1 principal recovery) levels:

TickerClosePW-RSI52W DD10D Vol-9% Stop+100% TP1
$CELH$32.4298/100-45.3%2.46x$29.50$64.84
$APP$409.1075/100-44.6%4.32x$372.28$818.20
$VRTX$538.6075/100-5.3%2.12x$490.13$1077.20
$DIS$118.9775/100-1.5%1.62x$108.26$237.94
$AMZN$266.6675/100-7.2%2.04x$242.66$533.32

3. Key Head-to-Head Relative Strength Matchups

Before deploying capital into a single semiconductor or software name, compare institutional accumulation velocity side-by-side: review $NVDA vs $AMD, $AVGO vs $MRVL, and $PLTR vs $CRWD.

🟢 Safe Uptrend • 🟡 Wait & Watch • 🔴 -9% Exit Line

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Don't Hold a Falling Stock—Check Your -9% Exit Line in 3 Seconds

Stop guessing where support sits. Run any of our 72 liquid US equities through the free Position Doctor to calculate your exact -9.0% hard stop floor and +100% TP1 principal-harvest target—or unlock real-time institutional Ignition Zone entries on Store #296100.

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Frequently Asked Quantitative Questions

What is the Semiconductor Fear & Greed score as of 2026-11-13?

As of 2026-11-13, the RightSideAlpha Semiconductor Fear & Greed Index is 18.3/100 (Extreme Fear), with $SMH at $486.75 (-27.23% from its 52-week high) and an active 80:20 $SMH:$XLV allocation.

How does Rule 1 protect against deep semiconductor drawdowns?

Every single-stock entry enforces a strict -9.0% mechanical hard stop from average cost basis so a failed breakout never mutates into a -50% bagholder position.